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Suchitepequez vs Malacateco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Icute M.
35' Event
Cabrera N.
53'
Sub
Icute M. In: Culan D.
Out: Icute M.

AI Match Summary

Suchitepequez in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suchitepequez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Suchitepequez
30%
Draws
31%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suchitepequez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Suchitepequez average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Malacateco's 0.87.
  • Suchitepequez are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 14%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Malacateco
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
1:0
Sep 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Suchitepequez
2:0
Jul 18, 2019 Club Friendly
Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
1:1
Apr 4, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Malacateco
3:1
Feb 4, 2018 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Suchitepequez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Malacateco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 39 / 100
Malacateco 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suchitepequez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suchitepequez scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Malacateco conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Suchitepequez stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Malacateco
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
28 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
25 Oct
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
16 Oct
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Malacateco

(Away)
03 Nov
Suchitepequez
1 : 0
Malacateco
29 Oct
Malacateco
0 : 2
Aurora F.C.
25 Oct
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 2
Malacateco
21 Oct
Malacateco
1 : 0
Comunicaciones
15 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)