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Suchitepequez vs Xelaju Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Zamorano A.
14' Event
Jaen Y.
21' Event
Zamorano A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Suchitepequez and Xelaju finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Suchitepequez
35%
Draws
40%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xelaju come out ahead of Suchitepequez on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Xelaju's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suchitepequez Xelaju
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Xelaju
2:2
Apr 8, 2018 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Suchitepequez
4:3
Feb 11, 2018 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Xelaju
1:1
Oct 12, 2017 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Suchitepequez
4:1
Aug 9, 2017 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Xelaju
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaen Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suchitepequez 26 / 100
Xelaju 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suchitepequez Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Suchitepequez scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Xelaju has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Suchitepequez has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suchitepequez VS Xelaju
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Suchitepequez

(Home)
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2
Coban Imperial
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Xelaju

(Away)
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
31 Aug
Xelaju
4 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 10 7 0 3 20:15 21
4 Deportivo San Pedro 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
5 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
6 Marquense 11 5 1 5 11:14 16
7 Xelaju 11 4 3 4 22:14 15
8 Aurora F.C. 11 4 0 7 16:19 12
9 Malacateco 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
10 Comunicaciones 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
11 Coban Imperial 11 2 4 5 13:18 10
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)