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Sud America vs La Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024 Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja, Minas
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Navarro A.
86' Event
Pucheta J.
90' Event
Izquierdo R.

AI Match Summary

Sud America in this Segunda Division 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sud America.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sud America
15%
Draws
64%
La Luz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Luz lately — more wins on the board than Sud America.
  • Win probability leans La Luz's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sud America Clean Sheet 22%
La Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sud America La Luz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Sud America
4:1
Jul 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs La Luz
3:0
Apr 27, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs La Luz
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Segunda Division
Sud America vs La Luz
3:0
Jun 25, 2022 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Sud America
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sud America Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pucheta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

La Luz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sud America 29 / 100
La Luz 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sud America La Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Luz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sud America scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

La Luz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sud America remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Luz
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sud America

(Home)
16 Nov
Sud America
0 : 1
Atenas
09 Nov
La Luz
4 : 1
Sud America
02 Nov
Sud America
1 : 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 0
Sud America
12 Oct
Sud America
2 : 0
Cooper
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La Luz

(Away)
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
04 Sept
La Luz
1 : 3
Huracan FC
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