Sport Picks

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Sud America vs Potencia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2023 Estadio Juan Antonio Lavalleja, Minas
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Gallego F.
66' Event
Martinez F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sud America
15%
Draws
49%
Potencia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Potencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sud America have won more games recently than Potencia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sud America Clean Sheet 17%
Potencia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sud America Potencia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Potencia
1:1
May 13, 2023 Segunda Division
Potencia vs Sud America
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sud America Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sud America 31 / 100
Potencia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sud America Potencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potencia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Sud America's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Potencia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sud America VS Potencia
0.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sud America

(Home)
16 Nov
Sud America
0 : 1
Atenas
09 Nov
La Luz
4 : 1
Sud America
02 Nov
Sud America
1 : 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 0
Sud America
12 Oct
Sud America
2 : 0
Cooper
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Potencia

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
04 Dec
Atenas
3 : 0
Potencia
29 Nov
Potencia
1 : 1
Rampla Juniors
26 Nov
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 0
Potencia
20 Nov
Potencia
0 : 2
Cerrito
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