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Sudan U20 vs Kenya U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kibet A.
Assist: Omondi A.
41' Event
Kibet A.
Assist: Gitamu W.
67' Event
Wanganya K.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship U20 2024 game between Sudan U20 and Kenya U20 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kenya U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sudan U20
20%
Draws
15%
Kenya U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kenya U20 haven't matched Sudan U20's recent run of results.
  • Sudan U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Kenya U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan U20 Kenya U20
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Sudan U20 vs Kenya U20
0:4
Nov 27, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Kenya U20 vs Sudan U20
2:1
Apr 23, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Kenya U20 vs Sudan U20
0:0
Apr 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Sudan U20 vs Kenya U20
1:1
Aug 6, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Kenya U20 vs Sudan U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudan U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kenya U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kibet A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Wanganya K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan U20 68 / 100
Kenya U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan U20 Kenya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sudan U20 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Kenya U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sudan U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudan U20 VS Kenya U20
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Tanzania U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
17 Sept
Djibouti U20
0 : 3
Sudan U20
15 Oct
Sudan U20
0 : 4
Kenya U20
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Kenya U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
07 May
Nigeria U20
2 : 2
Kenya U20
04 May
Tunisia U20
3 : 1
Kenya U20
01 May
Kenya U20
2 : 3
Morocco U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U20 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Tanzania U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Sudan U20 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
4 Rwanda U20 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Djibouti U20 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Burundi U20 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Ethiopia U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)