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Sudan vs Chad

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Abuaagla M.
90' Event
Abdelrazak A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sudan
15%
Draws
21%
Chad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sudan have won more games recently than Chad.
  • Model gives Sudan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sudan Clean Sheet 20%
Chad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan Chad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.69 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2023 Friendly International
Sudan vs Chad
1:1
Oct 17, 2023 Friendly International
Sudan vs Chad
1:0
Sep 10, 2019 World Championship
Sudan vs Chad
0:0
Sep 5, 2019 World Championship
Chad vs Sudan
1:3
Sep 10, 2008 World Championship
Chad vs Sudan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abuaagla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Chad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelrazak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan 76 / 100
Chad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan Chad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chad let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Chad has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sudan's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sudan VS Chad
0.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.83
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan

(Home)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
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Chad

(Away)
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
17 Nov
Chad
2 : 2
Mozambique
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
12 Oct
Chad
2 : 3
Central Africa
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