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Sudan vs Eritrea

World World

Friendly International 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sudan in this Friendly International 2007 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sudan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sudan
15%
Draws
59%
Eritrea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eritrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Eritrea haven't matched Sudan's recent run of results.
  • Eritrea are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sudan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Sudan Clean Sheet 20%
Eritrea Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudan Eritrea
Matches Played 28 16
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.68 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.23 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 Friendly International
Eritrea vs Sudan
0:1
Nov 29, 2013 CECAFA Championship
Sudan vs Eritrea
3:0
Dec 3, 2007 Friendly International
Sudan vs Eritrea
1:0
Nov 30, 2007 Friendly International
Sudan vs Eritrea
1:0
May 25, 2007 Friendly International
Eritrea vs Sudan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan 12 / 100
Eritrea 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudan Eritrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eritrea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eritrea conceded in 69% of 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sudan scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Sudan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sudan VS Eritrea
0.25 Goals Scored 0.8
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.2
38% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudan

(Home)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
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Eritrea

(Away)
31 Mar
Eswatini
1 : 2
Eritrea
25 Mar
Eritrea
2 : 0
Eswatini
28 May
Eritrea
0 : 1
Niger
26 May
Eritrea
0 : 0
Niger
03 Nov
Eritrea
0 : 3
Ethiopia
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