Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Martyrs of February Stadium

Ghana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sudan play Ghana in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sudan averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Ghana averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Sudan won 2, Ghana won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 15, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sudan and 1.00 for Ghana. This points to a Ghana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Sudan

28%

Draws

38%

Ghana

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ghana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sudan picked up more points recently compared to Ghana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Sudan Clean Sheet 23%

Ghana Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sudan	Ghana
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	11	8
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.7	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Sudan vs Ghana

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Oct 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Ghana vs Sudan

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Jan 19, 2023 African Nations Championship

Ghana vs Sudan

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 4

3:1

Nov 17, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations

Sudan vs Ghana

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Nov 12, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations

Ghana vs Sudan

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Tash A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Abdelrahman M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Ghana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudan 35 / 100

Ghana 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sudan Ghana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ghana or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +20.8%

3.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sudan attacking → ← attacking Ghana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Ghana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sudan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ghana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 38

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4