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Sudbury vs Long Eaton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Allen J.
41' Event
Hanson J.
46' Event
Napa M.

AI Match Summary

Sudbury in this Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sudbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sudbury
20%
Draws
16%
Long Eaton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sudbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sudbury have won more games recently than Long Eaton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 10%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudbury Long Eaton
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.56 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.66 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Long Eaton
7:1
Nov 11, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Sudbury
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Napa M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Long Eaton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudbury 30 / 100
Long Eaton 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudbury Long Eaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Eaton has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sudbury scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Long Eaton's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sudbury VS Long Eaton
1 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudbury

(Home)
12 Sept
Ware
2 : 0
Sudbury
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1
Lowestoft
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3
Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0
Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 7

Long Eaton

(Away)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)