Sport Picks
Sudbury vs Needham Market - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Pearce L.
7'
7'
Ingram L.
(Penalty)
35'
35'
Ingram L.
AI Match Summary
Needham Market in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Needham Market.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Needham Market
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sudbury haven't matched Needham Market's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Needham Market's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 12%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sudbury | Needham Market |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.49 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Needham Market
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Sudbury
4:2
Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Sudbury
3:0
Jan 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Needham Market
1:0
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Sudbury vs Needham Market
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sudbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Needham Market Compare
Top Goalscorer Ingram L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sudbury 10 / 100
Needham Market 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sudbury Needham Market
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Needham Market Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sudbury scored in 69% of their last 35 games.
Needham Market's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Sudbury has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sudbury VS Needham Market
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sudbury
(Home) 12 Sept
Ware
2 : 0 Sudbury
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1 Lowestoft
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3 Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0 Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1 Lowestoft
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
06 Apr
Sudbury
1 : 3 Needham Market
28 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 2 Alvechurch
14 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 4 Kettering
Page 1 of 4
Needham Market
(Away) 03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3 Needham Market
29 Sept
Needham Market
4 : 0 Stamford
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0 Needham Market
19 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 3 Braintree
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3 Needham Market
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3 Needham Market
22 Sept
Braintree
3 : 0 Needham Market
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0 Needham Market
29 Aug
Stratford
1 : 2 Needham Market
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
