Sport Picks
Sudbury vs Stourbridge
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
25'
25'
Pavey C.
55'
55'
Pavey C.
57'
57'
Verma J.
AI Match Summary
Stourbridge in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stourbridge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Sudbury haven't matched Stourbridge's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Stourbridge's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sudbury Clean Sheet 10%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sudbury | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.77 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Stourbridge
0:4
Dec 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Sudbury
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Sudbury vs Stourbridge
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Sudbury
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Sudbury
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sudbury Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Pavey C.
3 Goals Assists Leader Verma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sudbury 14 / 100
Stourbridge 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sudbury Stourbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stourbridge let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Sudbury found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Stourbridge lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sudbury VS Stourbridge
1.2 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
80% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sudbury
(Home) 12 Sept
Ware
2 : 0 Sudbury
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1 Lowestoft
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3 Sudbury
25 Apr
Halesowen
5 : 0 Sudbury
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Sudbury
3 : 1 Lowestoft
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
06 Apr
Sudbury
1 : 3 Needham Market
28 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 2 Alvechurch
14 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 4 Kettering
Page 1 of 3
Stourbridge
(Away) 26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3 Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3 Stourbridge
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1 Stourbridge
15 Aug
Peterborough Sports
1 : 2 Stourbridge
28 Jul
Halesowen
3 : 3 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
