Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gabrielloni A.
Assist: Maistro F.
46'
Sub
Maistro F. In: Zeroli K.
Out: Maistro F.
46'
Sub
Bellich M. In: Giorgini A.
Out: Bellich M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Sudtirol and Juve Stabia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sudtirol
33%
Draws
27%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Juve Stabia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sudtirol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Juve Stabia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 14 13
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Crnigoj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabrielloni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 50 / 100
Juve Stabia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Juve Stabia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sudtirol found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Juve Stabia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 7

Juve Stabia

(Away)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
16 May
Juve Stabia
2 : 2
Monza
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)