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Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gabrielloni A.
Assist: Maistro F.
46'
Sub
Maistro F. In: Zeroli K.
Out: Maistro F.
46'
Sub
Bellich M. In: Giorgini A.
Out: Bellich M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Sudtirol and Juve Stabia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sudtirol
35%
Draws
30%
Juve Stabia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Juve Stabia's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Sudtirol have produced (1.24).
  • Win probability leans Sudtirol's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Juve Stabia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Crnigoj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabrielloni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 59 / 100
Juve Stabia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Juve Stabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juve Stabia let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sudtirol scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sudtirol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Juve Stabia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
02 Oct
Sudtirol
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
15 Sept
Genoa
1 : 0
Sudtirol
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
05 Sept
Sudtirol
2 : 0
Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6

Juve Stabia

(Away)
03 Oct
Lazio
3 : 3
Juve Stabia
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1
Palmese 1914
18 Sept
Juve Stabia
1 : 1
Cesena
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)