Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sudtirol vs Modena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Casiraghi D.
Penalty Missed
10'
Sub
Chichizola L. In: Pezzolato M.
Out: Chichizola L.
21' Event
Santoro S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sudtirol
30%
Draws
27%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sudtirol lately — more wins on the board than Modena.
  • Model gives Sudtirol a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%
Modena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sudtirol Modena
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Modena
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Sudtirol
0:0
Dec 29, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Sudtirol
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Modena
2:1
Apr 27, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Sudtirol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pietrangeli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Santoro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sudtirol 95 / 100
Modena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sudtirol Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudtirol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudtirol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sudtirol scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Modena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sudtirol VS Modena
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sudtirol

(Home)
15 Aug
Catanzaro
2 : 3
Sudtirol
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
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Modena

(Away)
15 Aug
Venezia
3 : 2
Modena
08 Aug
Modena
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1
Modena
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)