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Suduva vs FC Stumbras

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019 Marijampole Football Arena
Sat, Aug 3, 2019
3 - 0
04:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Suduva host FC Stumbras in the A Lyga 2019. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. FC Stumbras have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Suduva have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Suduva have won 4 to FC Stumbras's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.06) point toward Suduva. Suduva in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Suduva
6%
Draws
4%
FC Stumbras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Suduva lately — more wins on the board than FC Stumbras.
  • Win probability leans Suduva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular A Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Suduva have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Suduva Clean Sheet 20%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva FC Stumbras
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 12 3
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Suduva
0:3
Aug 3, 2019 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Stumbras
3:0
May 18, 2019 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FC Stumbras
2:0
Mar 31, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Suduva
2:0
Nov 3, 2018 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Suduva
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 85 / 100
FC Stumbras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva FC Stumbras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Stumbras has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Suduva has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Stumbras's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Suduva found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (41 games).

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Suduva28250374:1575
2Zalgiris28212567:2265
3Riteriai28137844:2946
4FK Kauno Zalgiris281351048:3944
5FK Panevezys28871341:5331
6Atlantas28751626:5326
7Palanga28612129:7019
8FC Stumbras28432112:6015