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Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suduva host FK Kauno Zalgiris in the TOPLYGA. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Suduva at 1.69 goals for, 0.97 against; FK Kauno Zalgiris at 1.55 for, 0.9 against. Head-to-head, Suduva have won 2 to FK Kauno Zalgiris's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Suduva. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Suduva
20%
Draws
48%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Suduva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Suduva Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suduva FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.69 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
5:1
May 23, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:4
Oct 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suduva 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suduva FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suduva scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Suduva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suduva VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suduva

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)