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Sueno vs River Light

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sueno
20%
Draws
23%
River Light
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sueno have won more games recently than River Light.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sueno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
Sueno Clean Sheet 10%
River Light Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sueno River Light
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.84 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Sueno vs River Light
3:3
Jun 4, 2026 USL League Two
River Light vs Sueno
2:1
Jun 27, 2025 USL League Two
River Light vs Sueno
1:4
Jun 17, 2025 USL League Two
Sueno vs River Light
2:1
Jul 4, 2024 USL League Two
River Light vs Sueno
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sueno 83 / 100
River Light 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sueno River Light

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sueno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sueno found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

River Light's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Sueno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sueno VS River Light
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sueno

(Home)
17 Jul
Peoria IL
3 : 2
Sueno
11 Jul
Sueno
4 : 1
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Sueno
5 : 1
RKC SC
25 Jun
Sueno
3 : 3
River Light
21 Jun
Sueno
3 : 1
St. Croix
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River Light

(Away)
12 Jul
RKC SC
5 : 1
River Light
09 Jul
River Light
0 : 2
Rockford Raptors
27 Jun
River Light
2 : 5
Minneapolis City
25 Jun
Sueno
3 : 3
River Light
17 Jun
River Light
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
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