Sport Picks

Kosovo

Liga e Pare

Liria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suhareka play Liria in the Liga e Pare. It looks like a close match. Recently, Suhareka averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Liria averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Suhareka won 1, Liria won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Suhareka and 2.13 for Liria. This points to a Liria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Suhareka

15%

Draws

53%

Liria

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Suhareka picked up more points recently compared to Liria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Suhareka Clean Sheet 10%

Liria Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Suhareka	Liria
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	20
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1.73	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.77	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga e Pare

Liria vs Suhareka

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

4:2

Dec 4, 2025 Kosovar Cup

Liria vs Suhareka

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 Liga e Pare

Suhareka vs Liria

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 11, 2025 Club Friendly

Liria vs Suhareka

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 0 - 4

3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suhareka 31 / 100

Liria 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Suhareka Liria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liria Win (2)

Secondary Pick Liria & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Suhareka attacking → ← attacking Liria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suhareka scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Liria let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Suhareka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Liria lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 65

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vushtrria	34	22	9	3	62:26	75
2	Feronikeli	34	22	8	4	59:22	74
3	Liria	34	21	8	5	60:29	71
4	Dinamo Ferizaj	34	22	5	7	61:39	71
5	Trepca 89	34	20	10	4	72:33	70
6	Vellaznimi	34	21	7	6	58:32	70
7	Ramiz Sadiku	34	14	8	12	39:29	50
8	Suhareka	34	13	5	16	60:61	44
9	Tefik Canga	34	12	4	18	48:54	40
10	2 Korriku	34	11	6	17	52:64	39
11	Besa Peja	33	9	8	16	39:52	35
12	Vjosa	34	9	8	17	39:61	35
13	Trepca Mitrovice	34	9	7	18	49:62	34
14	Kika	34	9	6	19	25:43	33
15	Istogu	34	7	11	16	47:60	32
16	Rilindja	34	8	8	18	34:61	32
17	Kek-U	33	4	9	20	25:63	21
18	Prizreni	34	3	11	20	28:66	20