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Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
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AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare game between Suhareka and Trepca Mitrovice finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suhareka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Suhareka
35%
Draws
37%
Trepca Mitrovice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trepca Mitrovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Suhareka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Suhareka a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Suhareka here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Suhareka Clean Sheet 20%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suhareka Trepca Mitrovice
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga e Pare
Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice
4:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga e Pare
Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Suhareka
0:2
Dec 7, 2023 Kosovar Cup
Suhareka vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suhareka 67 / 100
Trepca Mitrovice 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suhareka Trepca Mitrovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suhareka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suhareka's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Trepca Mitrovice has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Suhareka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suhareka VS Trepca Mitrovice
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suhareka

(Home)
03 Oct
Kika
0 : 0
Suhareka
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
19 Sept
Dinamo Ferizaj
3 : 1
Suhareka
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
05 Sept
Ramiz Sadiku
2 : 2
Suhareka
Page 1 of 6

Trepca Mitrovice

(Away)
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)