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Sukhothai vs Rasisalai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai host Rasisalai United in the Thai League 1. This one's hard to separate. Sukhothai have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Rasisalai United's 1.66 scored and 1.03 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.63, favoring Rasisalai United. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sukhothai
30%
Draws
23%
Rasisalai United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Rasisalai United have won more games recently than Sukhothai.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 14%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Rasisalai United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 31 / 100
Rasisalai United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Rasisalai United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rasisalai United conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Sukhothai scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sukhothai stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Rasisalai United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Rasisalai United
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Rasisalai United

(Away)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0
Rasisalai United
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)