Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sukhothai vs Rayong FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Weslen Junior
23'
Joao Afonso
37' Event
Kanlayanabandit S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sukhothai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sukhothai
17%
Draws
13%
Rayong FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sukhothai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayong FC lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
  • Win probability leans Sukhothai's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 15%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Rayong FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Sukhothai
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Sukhothai
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
3:1
Apr 8, 2022 Thai League 2
Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rayong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 66 / 100
Rayong FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Rayong FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sukhothai's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sukhothai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Rayong FC
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
24 Apr
Sukhothai
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1
Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0
Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6

Rayong FC

(Away)
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0
Buriram United F.C.
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
18 Apr
Uthai Thani
4 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)