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Sukhothai vs Rayong FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thalay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Weslen Junior
23'
Joao Afonso
37' Event
Kanlayanabandit S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Sukhothai in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sukhothai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sukhothai
20%
Draws
46%
Rayong FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayong FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayong FC lately — more wins on the board than Sukhothai.
  • Win probability leans Sukhothai's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 16%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sukhothai Rayong FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Sukhothai
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Sukhothai
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
3:1
Apr 8, 2022 Thai League 2
Sukhothai vs Rayong FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sukhothai Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Rayong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sukhothai 36 / 100
Rayong FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sukhothai Rayong FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sukhothai's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sukhothai has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sukhothai VS Rayong FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sukhothai

(Home)
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
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Rayong FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)