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Sul America vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2021 game between Sul America and Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sul America
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sul America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sul America haven't matched Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sul America a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sul America Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sul America Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 10 17
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 3.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2022 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:7
Oct 16, 2021 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2:4
Mar 30, 2019 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sul America
3:2
Feb 28, 2019 Amazonense
Sul America vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:2
Mar 2, 2013 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sul America
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sul America 84 / 100
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sul America Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)'s recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sul America VS Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
3.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sul America

(Home)
21 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
3 : 2
Sul America
13 Jun
Sul America
3 : 2
Cliper
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
02 Jun
Sul America
0 : 2
Itacoatiara
14 Sept
Sete FC
3 : 2
Sul America
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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

(Away)
22 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1 : 4
Princesa do Solimoes
19 Mar
Parintins
7 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
16 Mar
Manauara
8 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
10 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 4
Sao Raimundo AM
06 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara642014:214
2Operario Esporte Clube642013:214
3Atletico Amazonense623110:99
4Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)622213:98
5Taruma622213:118
6Sul America611421:154
7Manicore60060:360
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2021 (Play Offs)