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Sul America vs Itacoatiara

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Daniel Guerreiro
(Penalty)
38' Event
Daniel Guerreiro

AI Match Summary

Itacoatiara in this Amazonense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itacoatiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sul America
30%
Draws
23%
Itacoatiara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sul America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sul America lately — more wins on the board than Itacoatiara.
  • Model gives Sul America a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sul America Clean Sheet 16%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sul America Itacoatiara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 2.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2025 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Itacoatiara
0:2
Sep 11, 2024 Amazonense 2
Itacoatiara vs Sul America
0:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sul America Compare

Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Guerreiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sul America 84 / 100
Itacoatiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sul America Itacoatiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Itacoatiara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Itacoatiara's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sul America VS Itacoatiara
2.83 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sul America

(Home)
21 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
3 : 2
Sul America
13 Jun
Sul America
3 : 2
Cliper
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
02 Jun
Sul America
0 : 2
Itacoatiara
14 Sept
Sete FC
3 : 2
Sul America
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Itacoatiara

(Away)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Taruma 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Unidos do Alvorada 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
4 Manicore 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 RB do Norte 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario Esporte Clube 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
3 Sul America 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Fast Clube 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Cliper 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)