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Sultanbeyli vs Alanya 1221

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ari B.
74' Event
Helvaci H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sultanbeyli
35%
Draws
9%
Alanya 1221
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sultanbeyli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alanya 1221 lately — more wins on the board than Sultanbeyli.
  • Win probability leans Sultanbeyli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sultanbeyli Clean Sheet 20%
Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sultanbeyli Alanya 1221
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Alanya 1221 vs Sultanbeyli
1:1
Dec 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Alanya 1221
1:1
Mar 25, 2021 3. Lig Group 4
Alanya 1221 vs Sultanbeyli
1:2
Nov 29, 2020 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Alanya 1221
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sultanbeyli Compare

Top Goalscorer Helvaci H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Alanya 1221 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ari B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sultanbeyli 85 / 100
Alanya 1221 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sultanbeyli Alanya 1221

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sultanbeyli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanya 1221's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sultanbeyli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Alanya 1221 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alanya 1221
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sultanbeyli

(Home)
27 Apr
Alanya 1221
1 : 1
Sultanbeyli
21 Apr
Sultanbeyli
0 : 1
Musspor
14 Apr
23 Elazig FK
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
07 Apr
Sultanbeyli
1 : 0
Nevsehir
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
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Alanya 1221

(Away)
07 Oct
Soma Spor
4 : 2
Alanya 1221
03 Oct
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
19 Sept
Aksehirspor
3 : 1
Alanya 1221
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Balikesirspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)