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Sultanbeyli vs Orduspor 1967

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sultanbeyli play Orduspor 1967 in the 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sultanbeyli averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Orduspor 1967 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Sultanbeyli won 1, Orduspor 1967 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 20, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Sultanbeyli and 1.18 for Orduspor 1967. This points to a Orduspor 1967 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sultanbeyli
23%
Draws
44%
Orduspor 1967
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Orduspor 1967

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Sultanbeyli picked up more points recently compared to Orduspor 1967.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Sultanbeyli Clean Sheet 20%
Orduspor 1967 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sultanbeyli Orduspor 1967
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Orduspor 1967
1:4
Sep 9, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Orduspor 1967 vs Sultanbeyli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sultanbeyli Compare

Top Goalscorer Filiz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Orduspor 1967 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eser G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gul R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sultanbeyli 34 / 100
Orduspor 1967 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sultanbeyli Orduspor 1967

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orduspor 1967 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sultanbeyli attacking → ← attacking Orduspor 1967

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sultanbeyli scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Orduspor 1967 let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sultanbeyli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orduspor 1967 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adana 0128203560:2763
2Sebat Spor Kulubu28155842:2750
3Musspor281211541:2947
4Tokat Bld Plevnespor28129732:2745
5Alanya 1221281110742:3343
6Bursa Yildirimspor28119839:3442
7Orduspor 196728118949:3341
8Balikesirspor28712928:3233
9Izmir Coruhlu28871334:3931
10Cankaya FK28613926:3731
1123 Elazig FK28871325:4231
12Nevsehir28861419:3130
13Siirt Ozel28781321:3229
14Catalca Spor285111227:3826
15Sultanbeyli28671526:5025