Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Mokra Gora

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 11, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sumadija Arandjelovac host Mokra Gora in the Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Sumadija Arandjelovac at 0.38 goals for, 2.75 against; Mokra Gora at 0 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Sumadija Arandjelovac have won 0 to Mokra Gora's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.88) point toward Mokra Gora. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sumadija Arandjelovac
11%
Draws
80%
Mokra Gora
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mokra Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sumadija Arandjelovac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mokra Gora are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sumadija Arandjelovac Clean Sheet 10%
Mokra Gora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumadija Arandjelovac Mokra Gora
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 4 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2020 Srpska Liga - West
Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Mokra Gora
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Mokra Gora vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
2:2
Apr 20, 2019 Srpska Liga - West
Sumadija Arandjelovac vs Mokra Gora
1:2
Sep 29, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Mokra Gora vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
1:0
May 5, 2018 Srpska Liga - West
Mokra Gora vs Sumadija Arandjelovac
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumadija Arandjelovac 10 / 100
Mokra Gora 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumadija Arandjelovac Mokra Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Mokra Gora registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mokra Gora has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sumadija Arandjelovac scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Sumadija Arandjelovac VS Mokra Gora
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumadija Arandjelovac

(Home)
06 Jun
Sumadija Arandjelovac
0 : 4
Josanica
30 May
Gruza
4 : 2
Sumadija Arandjelovac
26 May
Sumadija Arandjelovac
1 : 2
Macva Bogatic
23 May
Buducnost Arilje
4 : 2
Sumadija Arandjelovac
15 May
Jedinstvo Ub
3 : 0
Sumadija Arandjelovac
Page 1 of 7

Mokra Gora

(Away)
29 Oct
Mokra Gora
0 : 2
Spartak Subotica
07 Mar
Trepca
2 : 0
Mokra Gora
24 Nov
Susica
2 : 1
Mokra Gora
16 Nov
Mokra Gora
0 : 2
Sloga Kraljevo
09 Nov
Sloga Pozega
3 : 0
Mokra Gora
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac 192619162150:1350
2Sloga Pozega19113532:1636
3Buducnost Krusik19106324:1236
4Jedinstvo Ub19112624:1735
5Sloga Petrovac19102731:2632
6Tutin1994630:2031
7Loznica1994623:2131
8Susica1993731:2930
9Trepca1985624:1929
10Josanica1884618:1727
11Sloga Kraljevo1964922:2522
12Takovo19611214:2819
13OFK Mihajlovac19531123:3218
14RSK Rabrovo19531124:3618
15Macva Bogatic19451017:2417
16Mladi Radnik19451016:2817
17Sumadija Arandjelovac19441117:3516
18Mokra Gora18341110:3213
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Prva Liga 2020/2021 (Main)