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SumQayit FK 2 vs Kapaz 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Musayev N.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Cahangirov U.
79' Event
Alakbarov M.

AI Match Summary

SumQayit FK 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SumQayit FK 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SumQayit FK 2
15%
Draws
34%
Kapaz 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kapaz 2 have won more games recently than SumQayit FK 2.
  • SumQayit FK 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 Kapaz 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Kapaz 2
3:2
Dec 17, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cahangirov U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alakbarov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 40 / 100
Kapaz 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 Kapaz 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

SumQayit FK 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

SumQayit FK 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK 2 VS Kapaz 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
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Kapaz 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 28 22 3 3 69:22 69
2 Neftci Baku 2 28 18 5 5 67:32 59
3 Turan 2 28 15 3 10 49:37 48
4 Sabail 2 28 13 5 10 46:44 44
5 Gabala 2 28 12 8 8 45:28 44
6 Zaqatala PFK 28 13 5 10 49:48 44
7 Kapaz 2 28 13 4 11 41:36 43
8 MOIK Baku 28 12 7 9 43:42 43
9 Lokbatan 28 12 5 11 30:23 41
10 Shamakhi 2 28 11 4 13 40:56 37
11 Qarabag Agdam 2 28 9 4 15 32:39 31
12 Zira FK 2 28 6 10 12 28:41 28
13 SumQayit FK 2 28 6 4 18 36:60 22
14 Mingachevir 28 5 5 18 29:51 20
15 Imisli FK 28 6 2 20 21:66 20
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)