Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SumQayit FK 2 vs Kapaz 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Musayev N.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Cahangirov U.
79' Event
Alakbarov M.

AI Match Summary

SumQayit FK 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SumQayit FK 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SumQayit FK 2
20%
Draws
38%
Kapaz 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SumQayit FK 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kapaz 2 have won more games recently than SumQayit FK 2.
  • SumQayit FK 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 13%
Kapaz 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 Kapaz 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Kapaz 2
3:2
Dec 17, 2022 I Liqa
Kapaz 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cahangirov U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alakbarov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kapaz 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 40 / 100
Kapaz 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 Kapaz 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kapaz 2 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

SumQayit FK 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

SumQayit FK 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK 2 VS Kapaz 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
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Kapaz 2

(Away)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
19 May
Kapaz 2
2 : 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
03 May
Imisli FK
1 : 2
Kapaz 2
17 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 0
Kapaz 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)