Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SumQayit FK 2 vs Shamakhi 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Abdullazada R.
32' Event
Cahangirov U.
35' Event
Abdullazada R.

AI Match Summary

Shamakhi 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shamakhi 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SumQayit FK 2
39%
Draws
31%
Shamakhi 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Shamakhi 2 have won more games recently than SumQayit FK 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SumQayit FK 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK 2 Shamakhi 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2023 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Shamakhi 2
3:4
Dec 10, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
2:1
Apr 1, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
2:0
Oct 27, 2021 I Liqa
SumQayit FK 2 vs Shamakhi 2
1:0
May 17, 2021 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs SumQayit FK 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SumQayit FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullazada R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cahangirov U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shamakhi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadirov F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alizada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 2 29 / 100
Shamakhi 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK 2 Shamakhi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

SumQayit FK 2 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SumQayit FK 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK 2 VS Shamakhi 2
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK 2

(Home)
23 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 2
Kapaz 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
SumQayit FK 2
4 : 0
Imisli FK
03 May
Qarabag Agdam 2
0 : 1
SumQayit FK 2
25 Apr
SumQayit FK 2
0 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Shamakhi 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)