Sport Picks
SumQayit FK vs Gabala
Azerbaijan
Premier League Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit 
AI Match Summary
SumQayit FK host Gabala in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: SumQayit FK at 1.03 goals for, 1.67 against; Gabala at 1.07 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, SumQayit FK have won 4 to Gabala's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.38) back SumQayit FK to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- SumQayit FK haven't matched Gabala's recent run of results.
- 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors SumQayit FK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SumQayit FK | Gabala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gabala has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
SumQayit FK found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Difficult form: Gabala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
SumQayit FK
(Home)Gabala
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 15 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Shamakhi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 11 | SumQayit FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | 2 |
