Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SumQayit FK vs Zira FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Vasquez R.
60'
Sub
Nuriyev C. In: Guimaraes R.
Out: Nuriyev C.
60'
Sub
Ibrahimli I. In: Mickels L.
Out: Ibrahimli I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
SumQayit FK
30%
Draws
54%
Zira FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zira FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Zira FK have won more games recently than SumQayit FK.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Zira FK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zira FK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zira FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 11%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SumQayit FK Zira FK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Zira FK
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
SumQayit FK vs Zira FK
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SumQayit FK 30 / 100
Zira FK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SumQayit FK Zira FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zira FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Zira FK conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: SumQayit FK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SumQayit FK VS Zira FK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SumQayit FK

(Home)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
16 Aug
SumQayit FK
1 : 3
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

Zira FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sabail 0
Shamakhi 1
Goygol 0
Baku Sporting 2
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
Karvan 3
Sheki City 1
Lokbatan 2
Imisli FK 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Gabala 5
Mingachevir 1
Gancabasar 0
Safa Baku 3
Shimal 0
Sahdag Qusar 2
Dinamo Baki 0
Turan 5
Araz PFK -
TBD -
Kapaz 6
Agstafa Gencleri 1
FC Khankendi 1
Difai Agsu 2
Zaqatala PFK 0
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK -
TBD -
Neftci Baku 6
MOIK Baku 2
1/8-finals
Shamakhi 1
Baku Sporting 0
Qarabag Agdam 3
Karvan 0
Imisli FK 1
Sabah Baku 2
Gabala 2
Safa Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 1
Turan 2
Araz PFK 0
Kapaz 1
Difai Agsu 1
SumQayit FK 3
Zira FK 1
Neftci Baku 0
Quarter-finals
Shamakhi 3
Qarabag Agdam 4
Sabah Baku 4
Gabala 3
Turan 3
Kapaz 0
SumQayit FK 0
Zira FK 2
Semi-finals
Qarabag Agdam 3
Sabah Baku 4
Turan 0
Zira FK 2
Final
Sabah Baku 2
Zira FK 1