Sport Picks
Sumsel United vs Garudayaksa
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
24'
24'
Saimima S.
29'
29'
Kemaluddin M.
42'
42'
Hutagalung A.
AI Match Summary
Sumsel United in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumsel United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Garudayaksa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Sumsel United haven't matched Garudayaksa's recent run of results.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sumsel United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 12%
Garudayaksa Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumsel United | Garudayaksa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Garudayaksa
1:0
Jan 30, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Garudayaksa
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Championship
Garudayaksa vs Sumsel United
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Muzakkar K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Garudayaksa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumsel United 30 / 100
Garudayaksa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumsel United Garudayaksa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Garudayaksa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sumsel United scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Sumsel United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Garudayaksa has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sumsel United VS Garudayaksa
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumsel United
(Home) 13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
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13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
28 Feb
Sumsel United
3 : 0 Sriwijaya
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Garudayaksa
(Away) 11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2 Persik Kediri
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3 Garudayaksa
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1 Persikad Depok
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3 Garudayaksa
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
19 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 2 Garudayaksa
28 Feb
PSPS Riau
0 : 0 Garudayaksa
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
