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Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
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Match Events

13'
Fariansyah A.
15' Event
Kamal L.
Penalty Missed
36'
Hidayat R.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Sumsel United and Persikad Depok finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sumsel United
30%
Draws
47%
Persikad Depok
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persikad Depok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Persikad Depok's 1.54 goals per match outpaces what Sumsel United have produced (1.46).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sumsel United have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
Persikad Depok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sumsel United Persikad Depok
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Persikad Depok
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Persikad Depok vs Sumsel United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sumsel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidayat R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Persikad Depok Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardiansyah F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sumsel United 34 / 100
Persikad Depok 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sumsel United Persikad Depok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persikad Depok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persikad Depok's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sumsel United scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sumsel United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sumsel United VS Persikad Depok
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sumsel United

(Home)
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0
Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1
Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0
Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1
Persikad Depok
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Persikad Depok

(Away)
18 Sept
Bekasi City
1 : 2
Persikad Depok
12 Sept
Persikad Depok
2 : 1
PSGC Ciamis
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
25 Apr
Persikad Depok
3 : 2
Bekasi City
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)