Sport Picks
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
19'
19'
Hidayat R.
23'
23'
Fathoni I.
(Penalty)
26'
26'
Faris A.
AI Match Summary
Sumsel United in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumsel United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSPS Riau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- PSPS Riau have won more games recently than Sumsel United.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 10%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumsel United | PSPS Riau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs PSPS Riau
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sumsel United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals Assists Leader Muzakkar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
PSPS Riau Compare
Top Goalscorer Ariyanto V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumsel United 30 / 100
PSPS Riau 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumsel United PSPS Riau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sumsel United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
PSPS Riau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Sumsel United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sumsel United VS PSPS Riau
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumsel United
(Home) 19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
28 Feb
Sumsel United
3 : 0 Sriwijaya
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PSPS Riau
(Away) 19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
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11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1 PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0 PSPS Riau
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2 PSPS Riau
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
28 Mar
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
