Sport Picks
Sumsel United vs Sriwijaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
31'
31'
Ariyanto V.
Assist: Arya M.
33'
33'
Sub
Adri M. In: Pahlevi R.
Out: Adri M.
38'
38'
Dwipan F.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Sumsel United and Sriwijaya finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sumsel United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sriwijaya haven't matched Sumsel United's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Sumsel United taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sumsel United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 68%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sumsel United | Sriwijaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Sriwijaya
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Sumsel United
0:5
Nov 2, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Sriwijaya
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Muzakkar K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Sriwijaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Ariyanto V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sumsel United 95 / 100
Sriwijaya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sumsel United Sriwijaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sriwijaya let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Sriwijaya lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Sumsel United scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Sumsel United VS Sriwijaya
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sumsel United
(Home) 02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
18 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Persikad Depok
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1 Bekasi City
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Sriwijaya
(Away) 02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0 Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0 Sriwijaya
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
28 Mar
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 1 Sriwijaya
28 Feb
Sumsel United
3 : 0 Sriwijaya
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
