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Sun Hei vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pegasus in this Division 1 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pegasus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sun Hei
15%
Draws
64%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pegasus lately — more wins on the board than Sun Hei.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Sun Hei taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 20%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sun Hei Pegasus
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2012 Premier League
Pegasus vs Sun Hei
1:2
Jan 7, 2012 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Pegasus
1:3
Apr 3, 2011 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Pegasus
4:3
Dec 12, 2010 Premier League
Pegasus vs Sun Hei
0:4
May 6, 2010 Premier League
Sun Hei vs Pegasus
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sun Hei 76 / 100
Pegasus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sun Hei Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sun Hei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Sun Hei scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pegasus has conceded goals in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Solid form: Sun Hei remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pegasus
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sun Hei

(Home)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
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Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
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