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Sun Hei vs South China - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2011/2012
Sat, Feb 18, 2012
2 - 1
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sun Hei in this Senior Shield 2011/2012 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sun Hei
15%
Draws
57%
South China
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South China

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • South China have won more games recently than Sun Hei.
  • Model gives Sun Hei a 28% chance of winning this.
  • South China arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South China, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sun Hei Clean Sheet 19%
South China Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sun Hei South China
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 9 25
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.4 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 FA Cup
Sun Hei vs South China
0:3
Feb 17, 2013 FA Cup
South China vs Sun Hei
3:0
Feb 18, 2012 Senior Shield
Sun Hei vs South China
2:1
Feb 4, 2012 Premier League
Sun Hei vs South China
2:4
Sep 23, 2011 Premier League
South China vs Sun Hei
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sun Hei 85 / 100
South China 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sun Hei South China

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sun Hei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sun Hei found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

South China has conceded goals in 63% of their last 43 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: South China registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS South China
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sun Hei

(Home)
12 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 1
Eastern AA
07 Dec
Southern District
2 : 1
Sun Hei
02 Nov
Sun Hei
2 : 1
Tuen Mun
01 May
Yangon United
2 : 0
Sun Hei
24 Apr
Sun Hei
0 : 3
New Radiant
Page 1 of 6

South China

(Away)
20 May
South China
1 : 6
Eastern AA
14 May
Kitchee
2 : 1
South China
06 May
Yuen Long
0 : 1
South China
30 Apr
South China
1 : 0
Eastern AA
22 Apr
South China
0 : 3
Kitchee
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tuen Mun 3
King Fung Football Club 0
TBD -
Citizen -
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Sun Hei -
Pegasus 2
Kitchee 1
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Sham Shui Po -
TBD -
TBD -
South China -
Quarter-finals
Tuen Mun 4
Citizen 3
Tai Po 2
Sun Hei 4
Pegasus 9
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Sham Shui Po 2
South China 3
Semi-finals
Tuen Mun 2
Sun Hei 3
Pegasus 2
South China 3
Final
Sun Hei 2
South China 1