Sport Picks

Denmark

1. Division Women 2023/2024

Varde W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sundby W play Varde W in the 1. Division Women 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sundby W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Varde W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Sundby W won 0, Varde W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 15, 2024 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.76 for Sundby W and 1.80 for Varde W. This points to a Varde W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Sundby W

15%

Draws

47%

Varde W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varde W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Sundby W picked up more points recently compared to Varde W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.76 vs 1.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Sundby W Clean Sheet 11%

Varde W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sundby W	Varde W
Matches Played	31	33
Wins	12	13
Draws	2	5
Losses	17	15
Goals Scored	1.42	1.76
Goals Conceded	2.29	1.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 B-Liga Women

Varde W vs Sundby W

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 0 - 4

4:2

Apr 20, 2024 B-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Varde W

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Nov 4, 2023 B-Liga Women

Sundby W vs Varde W

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

2:4

Sep 2, 2023 B-Liga Women

Varde W vs Sundby W

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Oct 2, 2021 B-Liga Women

Varde W vs Sundby W

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundby W 36 / 100

Varde W 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sundby W Varde W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Varde W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sundby W attacking → ← attacking Varde W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundby W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Varde W let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Sundby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Varde W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 44

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.60

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.40

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odense W	14	10	3	1	48:9	33
2	B93 W	14	9	3	2	36:16	30
3	Osterbro IF W	14	8	4	2	28:14	28
4	Naestved HG W	14	7	1	6	20:29	22
5	ASA Aarhus W	14	5	3	6	30:27	18
6	BSF W	14	4	2	8	17:26	14
7	Varde W	14	3	2	9	20:37	11
8	Sundby W	14	0	2	12	5:46	2