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Sunderland U18 vs Middlesbrough U18

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Smith T.
Assist: Roberts J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Sunderland U18 and Middlesbrough U18 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Middlesbrough U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sunderland U18
30%
Draws
29%
Middlesbrough U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunderland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sunderland U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sunderland U18 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sunderland U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U18 Middlesbrough U18
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.37 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Sunderland U18
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Sunderland U18
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
3:0
May 4, 2024 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U18 74 / 100
Middlesbrough U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U18 Middlesbrough U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U18 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Middlesbrough U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sunderland U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U18 VS Middlesbrough U18
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Manchester City U18
4 : 1
Sunderland U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
09 May
Sunderland U18
1 : 0
Wolves U18
05 May
Sunderland U18
4 : 0
Everton U18
02 May
Blackburn U18
3 : 1
Sunderland U18
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Middlesbrough U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)