Sport Picks
Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland 
Match Events
2'
2'
Abdullahi A.
27'
27'
Jones J.
Assist: Dinsdale C.
34'
34'
Harriman-Annous A.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Sunderland U21 and Arsenal U21 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sunderland U21 come out ahead of Arsenal U21 on wins alone.
- Model gives Sunderland U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sunderland U21 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Arsenal U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunderland U21 | Arsenal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2026 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21
3:1
Dec 16, 2024 Premier League 2
Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:2
Dec 18, 2023 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21
1:2
Dec 2, 2013 Premier League U21
Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sunderland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullahi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Arsenal U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Harriman-Annous A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunderland U21 35 / 100
Arsenal U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunderland U21 Arsenal U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland U21 scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Arsenal U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Sunderland U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sunderland U21 VS Arsenal U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunderland U21
(Home) 06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0 Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1 Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1 Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1 Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Ipswich U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1 Nottingham U21
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1 Jong PSV
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
Page 1 of 3
Arsenal U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0 Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
22 Aug
Arsenal U21
1 : 1 Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0 Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
18 Aug
Barnet
5 : 1 Arsenal U21
17 Jul
Boreham Wood
1 : 1 Arsenal U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
