Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland U21 Logo

Sunderland U21

1 - 2
FT
Burnley U21 Logo

Burnley U21

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
McDermott T.
45' Event
Clark E.
Assist: McMahon-Brown K.
46'
Sub
Roberts C. In: Scott C.
Out: Roberts C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Burnley U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sunderland U21
20%
Draws
22%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunderland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunderland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sunderland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sunderland U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burnley U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burnley U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U21 Burnley U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Burnley U21
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League 2
Burnley U21 vs Sunderland U21
0:3
Mar 10, 2025 Premier League Cup
Burnley U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Burnley U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Clark E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McMahon-Brown K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U21 84 / 100
Burnley U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U21 Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sunderland U21 scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Burnley U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Sunderland U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U21 VS Burnley U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1
Jong PSV
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1
Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U21

(Away)
14 Sept
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Burnley U21
08 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
28 Aug
Burnley U21
1 : 3
Reading U21
21 Aug
Fulham U21
4 : 3
Burnley U21
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Nottingham U21 1
Sunderland U21 6
Watford U21 3
Charlton U21 2
Ipswich U21 2
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 5
Stoke City U21 0
Burnley U21 3
Brentford U21 2
Colchester U21 1
Swansea U21 0
Sheffield Utd U21 1
Bournemouth U21 2
West Brom U21 1
QPR U21 0
Quarter-finals
Sunderland U21 3
Watford U21 1
Blackburn U21 3
Reading U21 1
Burnley U21 5
Colchester U21 2
Bournemouth U21 4
West Brom U21 5
Semi-finals
Sunderland U21 4
Blackburn U21 2
Burnley U21 2
West Brom U21 1
Final
Sunderland U21 1
Burnley U21 2