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Sunderland U21 vs Jong PSV

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Premier League International Cup Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Oteng-Mensah K.
Assist: Bresser M.
27' Event
Scott F.
Assist: Whittaker J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sunderland U21
20%
Draws
29%
Jong PSV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sunderland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong PSV haven't matched Sunderland U21's recent run of results.
  • Sunderland U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Sunderland U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland U21 Jong PSV
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.39 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Jong PSV
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Oteng-Mensah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland U21 65 / 100
Jong PSV 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland U21 Jong PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U21 scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Jong PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sunderland U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland U21 VS Jong PSV
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3
Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 7

Jong PSV

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1
Jong PSV
07 Sept
Jong PSV
3 : 1
Den Bosch
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1
Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genk U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Southampton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Genk U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Middlesbrough U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Monaco II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Southampton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Juventus U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Valencia B 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 B. Monchengladbach II 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 AC Milan U23 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Nordsjaelland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Manchester City U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
7 Dinamo Zagreb 2 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brondby U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Dortmund II 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Aston Villa U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
4 Sporting CP B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leicester U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
8 Real Sociedad B 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Jong PSV 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Sunderland U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Anderlecht 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Porto U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 PSG U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup (Play Offs)