Sport Picks
Sunderland U21 vs Leeds U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland 
Match Events
3'
3'
Abdullahi A.
Assist: Whittaker J.
30'
30'
Howard J.
46'
46'
Sub
Ba A. In: Geragusian F.
Out: Ba A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Sunderland U21 and Leeds U21 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunderland U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sunderland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sunderland U21's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunderland U21 | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2026 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Leeds U21
5:2
Mar 17, 2025 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Leeds U21
3:0
Jan 29, 2024 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:3
Mar 19, 2023 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Sunderland U21
3:1
Oct 10, 2022 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Leeds U21
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sunderland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullahi A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jones H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Cresswell A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vincent H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunderland U21 75 / 100
Leeds U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunderland U21 Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sunderland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland U21 scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Leeds U21 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Sunderland U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sunderland U21 VS Leeds U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunderland U21
(Home) 19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1 Jong PSV
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1 Sunderland U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Sunderland U21
1 : 1 Jong PSV
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2 Burnley U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Blackburn U21
30 Mar
Sunderland U21
2 : 2 Reading U21
23 Mar
Sunderland U21
3 : 1 Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 4
Leeds U21
(Away) 18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2 Leeds U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0 Leeds U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2 Manchester United U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2 Leeds U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0 Leeds U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2 Leeds U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
