Sport Picks
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar
Europe
Europa League Stadium of Light, Sunderland 
Match Events
22'
22'
Hume T.
30'
30'
Alderete O.
39'
39'
Oufkir A.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League game between Sunderland and AZ Alkmaar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- AZ Alkmaar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunderland | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Europa League
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunderland 30 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunderland AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AZ Alkmaar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sunderland scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
AZ Alkmaar has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Sunderland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Sunderland VS AZ Alkmaar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunderland
(Home) 20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3 Sunderland
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2 Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2 Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0 Fulham
15 Aug
Sunderland
2 : 1 Rennes
Page 1 of 3
AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 20 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 0 Telstar
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2 G.A. Eagles
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2 AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 | Din. Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 | H. Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
