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Sunderland vs Brighton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunderland host Brighton in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Sunderland at 1.17 goals for, 1.34 against; Brighton at 1.78 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Sunderland have won 0 to Brighton's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.94) point toward Brighton. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sunderland
20%
Draws
40%
Brighton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brighton lately — more wins on the board than Sunderland.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Brighton taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland Brighton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Brighton
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Sunderland
0:0
Aug 23, 2011 EFL Cup
Brighton vs Sunderland
1:0
Jul 21, 2010 Club Friendly
Brighton vs Sunderland
1:1
Feb 19, 2005 Championship
Brighton vs Sunderland
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 14 / 100
Brighton 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland Brighton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brighton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sunderland scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sunderland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Brighton conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Brighton
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
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Brighton

(Away)
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3
Brighton
13 Sept
Coventry
0 : 5
Brighton
05 Sept
Brighton
1 : 1
Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3
Brighton
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Tromso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
3 Leeds 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
4 Hull City 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Brighton 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
6 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
7 Brentford 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
8 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Everton 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
10 Ipswich 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
11 Nottingham 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Newcastle Utd 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
13 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 6:7 3
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
17 Tottenham 4 0 2 2 0:5 2
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
20 Coventry 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)