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Sunderland vs Rayo Vallecano

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
de Frutos J.
46'
Sub
Lejeune F. In: Ratiu A.
Out: Lejeune F.
46'
Sub
Valentin O. In: Palazon I.
Out: Valentin O.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sunderland
15%
Draws
28%
Rayo Vallecano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Rayo Vallecano average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Sunderland's 1.24.
  • Win probability leans Sunderland's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 16%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Sunderland vs Rayo Vallecano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Top Goalscorer de Frutos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 39 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Rayo Vallecano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Rayo Vallecano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2
Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
4 : 1
Sunderland
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1
Sunderland
30 Jul
Sunderland
0 : 1
Leeds
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
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Rayo Vallecano

(Away)
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3
Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Hearts
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0
Rayo Vallecano
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