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Sunderland vs Tottenham

England England

Premier League 2025/2026 Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Romero C.
33'
Brobbey B.
37'
van de Ven M.

AI Match Summary

Sunderland in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunderland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sunderland
30%
Draws
23%
Tottenham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunderland have won more games recently than Tottenham.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 18%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland Tottenham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Sunderland vs Tottenham
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Sunderland
1:1
Jan 31, 2017 Premier League
Sunderland vs Tottenham
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 Premier League
Tottenham vs Sunderland
1:0
Jan 16, 2016 Premier League
Tottenham vs Sunderland
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukiele N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tottenham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland 31 / 100
Tottenham 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland Tottenham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Tottenham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Sunderland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland VS Tottenham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland

(Home)
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
Page 1 of 6

Tottenham

(Away)
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 60
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 54
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 52:46 53
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 53
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 52
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 52
12 Newcastle Utd 38 14 7 17 53:55 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 49
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 49:56 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 45
16 Nottingham 38 11 11 16 48:51 44
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 48:57 41
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 46:65 39
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 38:75 22
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 27:68 20
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)