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Sundsvall vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Andersson A.
Assist: Mohammad E.
31'
Sangare L.
33' Event
Ekong S.
Assist: Gojani E.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sundsvall and Falkenberg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sundsvall
15%
Draws
45%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falkenberg come out ahead of Sundsvall on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Falkenberg taking it.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 15%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Falkenberg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.9 2
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Falkenberg
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Sundsvall
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Sundsvall
3:0
Jun 1, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Falkenberg
0:0
Nov 2, 2021 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Falkenberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekong S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kallstrom H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 15 / 100
Falkenberg 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Falkenberg conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Sundsvall stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sundsvall's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Falkenberg
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
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Falkenberg

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)