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Sundsvall vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Andersson A.
Assist: Mohammad E.
31'
Sangare L.
33' Event
Ekong S.
Assist: Gojani E.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Sundsvall and Falkenberg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falkenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sundsvall
6%
Draws
90%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falkenberg come out ahead of Sundsvall on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Falkenberg taking it.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 10%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Falkenberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Falkenberg
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Sundsvall
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Sundsvall
3:0
Jun 1, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Falkenberg
0:0
Nov 2, 2021 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Falkenberg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekong S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kallstrom H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 10 / 100
Falkenberg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Falkenberg let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sundsvall stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Falkenberg
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
20 Jul
Norrby
3 : 1
Sundsvall
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
15 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 4
Oster
10 Jun
Orebro
0 : 1
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

Falkenberg

(Away)
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Oster
1 : 3
Falkenberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Norrkoping1592426:1029
3Falkenberg1584330:2328
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Oddevold1555528:2620
10Sandviken1554624:2319
11Ljungskile1554621:2019
12Brage1645728:2917
13Norrby1538419:2117
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall15301212:349
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)