Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sundsvall vs Ljungskile Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nilsson W.
Assist: Tyren V.
30'
Sub
Ambroz F. In: Lagerlof D.
Out: Ambroz F.
39' Event
Lindholm Corner L.
Assist: Tyren V.

AI Match Summary

Sundsvall in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sundsvall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sundsvall
15%
Draws
26%
Ljungskile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundsvall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ljungskile have won more games recently than Sundsvall.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 20%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Ljungskile
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ljungskile
3:2
May 14, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Sundsvall
1:0
Oct 26, 2020 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Sundsvall
0:0
Aug 7, 2020 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Ljungskile
5:2
Sep 25, 2014 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Sundsvall
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kagayama T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindholm Corner L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 32 / 100
Ljungskile 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Ljungskile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljungskile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sundsvall has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ljungskile's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Ljungskile
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

Ljungskile

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)