Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sundsvall vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Yasin A.
Assist: Haliti J.
51'
Sub
Henareh D. In: Bjuhr W.
Out: Henareh D.
59' Event
Yasin A.
Assist: Holmberg K.

AI Match Summary

Orebro in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sundsvall
20%
Draws
29%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sundsvall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orebro lately — more wins on the board than Sundsvall.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Orebro taking it.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 16%
Orebro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Orebro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Orebro
0:3
Jun 10, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Sundsvall
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Orebro
1:1
May 17, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Sundsvall
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Superettan
Orebro vs Sundsvall
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wiedesheim-Paul R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 28 / 100
Orebro 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orebro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Sundsvall remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sundsvall scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Orebro
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

Orebro

(Away)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)