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Sunflower State vs Peoria IL

USA USA

USL League Two
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunflower State play Peoria IL in the USL League Two. Peoria IL are favorites here. Recently, Sunflower State averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. Peoria IL averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Sunflower State won 1, Peoria IL won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sunflower State and 2.50 for Peoria IL. This points to a Peoria IL double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sunflower State
15%
Draws
56%
Peoria IL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peoria IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Sunflower State picked up more points recently compared to Peoria IL.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sunflower State Clean Sheet 10%
Peoria IL Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunflower State Peoria IL
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 8 22
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.64 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Sunflower State
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Sunflower State
3:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Peoria IL
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunflower State 28 / 100
Peoria IL 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunflower State Peoria IL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peoria IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Peoria IL & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sunflower State attacking → ← attacking Peoria IL

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunflower State scored in 86% of their last 22 games.

Peoria IL let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sunflower State went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Peoria IL lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 68
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75