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Sunrise vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Camara M.
82' Event
Prosper N.
90' Event
Prosper N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Sunrise and Gorilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunrise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sunrise
20%
Draws
42%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorilla come out ahead of Sunrise on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sunrise taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 20%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunrise Gorilla
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Premier League
Sunrise vs Gorilla
2:1
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Gorilla vs Sunrise
0:2
Mar 31, 2023 Premier League
Gorilla vs Sunrise
1:1
Sep 6, 2022 Premier League
Sunrise vs Gorilla
1:1
Jun 28, 2021 Premier League
Gorilla vs Sunrise
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunrise Compare

Top Goalscorer Prosper N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Gorilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunrise 36 / 100
Gorilla 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunrise Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sunrise stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sunrise's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sunrise VS Gorilla
0.33 Goals Scored 1.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunrise

(Home)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
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Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)